OWR-14740-003 · Complete scoped counterexample

Nonadditivity of the Mean Symmetric-Difference Risk for Kernel Level Sets

Manuscript 27 October 2026 · Online 27 October 2026

math.STstat.MEUnrefereed preprint

Abstract

We give a smooth planar counterexample to simultaneous bandwidth-independent variance and bias limits for the mean symmetric-difference risk of kernel density level sets. For a standard bivariate normal density, a compactly supported radial C2 polynomial kernel, and critical bandwidths h_n(t) proportional to n^(-1/6), the normalized risk tends to C E|1+tZ|. Its strict convexity rules out universal constants A and B in sqrt(nh^2) I1 -> A and h^(-2) I2 -> B for any exact decomposition of the risk; three bandwidths suffice. An explicitly defined centered comparison gives unequal residual limits. A direct proof uses a triangular-array central limit theorem, an integrable boundary bound and an integrated-variance tail estimate. The general nonlinear risk law is earlier Doss-Weng/Qiao theory, which is fully credited. The result refutes the joint proposal in Chacon/Polonik's OWR32/2016 discussion while retaining its variance premise. The report does not define its I2 explicitly, so our centered comparison is not identified with that term and no whole UnsolvedMath OWR-14740-003 record closure is claimed. This five-page unrefereed preprint was prepared with AI assistance and self-audited; it has no independent referee or proof-assistant verification. Symbolic regression checks accompany the written proof.

Record

Affiliation
Mercury Software GmbH
Result
Complete scoped counterexample
Categories
math.ST · stat.ME
Manuscript
27 October 2026
Online release
27 October 2026
Version
1.0
License
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Files and verification

The PDF is the canonical reading copy. The source archive contains the LaTeX manuscript, bibliography, reproducibility material, and audit documents without build artefacts.

Citation

Alper Ferudun, “Nonadditivity of the Mean Symmetric-Difference Risk for Kernel Level Sets,” EulerSolve Research Papers, OWR-14740-003, 2026. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23682166.

BibTeX
@misc{ferudun2026levelsetnonadditivity,
  author = {Ferudun, Alper},
  title = {Nonadditivity of the Mean Symmetric-Difference Risk for Kernel Level Sets},
  year = {2026},
  howpublished = {EulerSolve Research Papers},
  url = {https://eulersolve.org/papers/owr-14740-003/},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.23682166},
  note = {OWR-14740-003; unrefereed preprint}
}

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